Thursday Night Football Week 5 Best Bets

Thursday is here and that means another crack at an NFL Matchup. This edition gives us a divisional rivalry as the Bucs go into Atlanta to take on the Falcons. Short weeks can always cause for some interesting outcomes, but there are some strong signals in this one that give us confidence in a few plays. We've got 3 for you tonight:

1. Falcons vs Buccaneers Under 44 Total Points: These two teams know each other well, and on a short week, the defenses should be prepared for whatever these offenses have to throw at them. The Falcons have done a great job of limiting explosive plays this season, which should force the Bucs into moving methodically. On the other side, the Falcons high watermark on the season is 26 points. We think the winner is this game ends up in the low 20's giving a high likelihood of the Under hitting.

2. Tyler Allgeier Over 31.5 Rush Yards: Despite playing second fiddle to Bijan Robinson most of the time, Allgeier has been involved in the Falcons offense this season. He's averaging 4.2 yards per carry on nearly 7 carries per game and last week he ripped 60 yards on only 8 carries. In fact, he's been over this number every week since week 1 when he only got 3 carries against a stout Steelers defense. With Robinson popping on the injury report with a hamstring earlier this week, it could be a bigger work load for Allgeier and his power running style

3. Mike Evans Under 63.5 Receiving Yards: The Falcons have one of the best safety tandems in the league and have not given up many big plays this season. That should limit Mike Evans ability to stretch the field and make big plays in the passing game. We think it's more of a Chris Godwin game for the Bucs and see Evans going under his receiving total in this one.

As always, we look forward to the conversation, debate and your feedback. Hit us at @fieldvisionmi on X, @fieldvisionsports on Instagram, or on our website www.fieldvisionsports.com.