Sunday Best Bets Week 12
With six week 12 byes, it's a lighter slate heading into the week of Thanksgiving, but there's still plenty to get excited about for the NFL weekend. The 49ers head into to play the Packers without Brock Purdy and their playoff hopes hanging in the balance more each week. The Eagles and Rams jockey for playoff position on Sunday Night Football and it's all capped with an All-Harbaugh affair between the Chargers and Ravens on Monday Night. Here's a few of our favorite plays for this weekend. As always, you can find all of our Bets on the "Best Bets" tab of the App.
Chuba Hubbard Under 54 Rush Yards: The Chiefs are third in Adjusted Rush EPA/play so far this season. Their highest total given up to a back all season was Jordan Mason with 58 in week 7. Hubbard is having a great season, but we'll take the trend of how great the Chiefs have been against the run here. We project him 8.1 percent under his rushing total.
Brock Bowers Over 54.5 Receiving Yards: Brock Bowers is having an historic season for a rookie tight end. He's 2nd among all tight ends in Threat Rating with an 87.1 score and he's pulling in a 26.4 percent target share this season. With the Broncos struggles against tight ends this season, we project Bowers 9.3 percent over his total.
James Conner Over 69 Rush Yards: The Seahawks are 25th in Adjusted Rush EPA/play through 11 weeks this season. We expect Arizona to try to control the game on the ground against Seattle and Conner has point of attack advantages on the left side and in the middle. We project him 5.4 percent over his total.
Puka Nacua Over 71 Receiving Yards: The Rams offense always looks better when Puka is available and we expect Stafford to feed the 2nd year star early and often against the Eagles. Puka is top 10 in the League in EPA generated from routes behind the line of scrimmage on the left and right, so the Rams will be trying to take advantage of those areas.
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