Best Bets Sunday Week 7

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Sasha Bouska
Sasha Bouska

As we enter Sunday, the fact that a super bowl rematch might not be the best game of the week tells you all you need to know about the games this Sunday. The early window and late window are both highlighted by huge tilts. At 1ET, Detroit will go to Minnesota in a marquee matchup atop the NFC North. Then at 4:25 ET, it's the aforementioned Super Bowl rematch as the Chiefs travel to face the San Francisco 49ers. We have picks from both games and more. As a reminder, to see all of our Best Bets, check out the Best Bets tab in the App. Here is a smattering of what we like on Sunday:

  1. Justin Jefferson Over 92.5 Receiving Yards: Jefferson is pulling in a whopping 34.9 percent target share for the Vikings so far this season and his Average depth of target is 14.2. He holds a large advantage against the Lions secondary in the intermediate part of the field as well. With Aidan Hutchinson now sidelined, look for Sam Darnold to have enough time to throw the ball down the field to Jefferson and his running mate Jordan Addison.

  2. Stefon Diggs Over 67.5 Receiving Yards: With Nico Collins out, Diggs will be the top target for Houston until Collins comes back. Diggs is pulling in a nearly 23 percent target share on the season and averaging over 6 catches per game. The Packers secondary has given up some big games to pass catchers already this year and Stroud should be able to find Diggs enough to go over this total.

  3. Drake London Over 73.5 Receiving Yards: London has become a go-to target for Kirk Cousins as of late hauling in a 28.6 percent target share and catching 6.3 passes per game. London shows huge advantages against the Seahawks defense in the short and intermediate parts of the field and we project him 12.8 percent over his receiving total, the 2nd highest positive matchup in our App this week.

  4. Brock Purdy Under 253.5 Passing Yards: The Chiefs defense hasn't missed a beat this year despite losing L'Jarius Sneed in the offseason. We show a -25.2 yard disadvantage for Purdy in the intermediate part of the field against the Chiefs, an area that he generally likes to attack. If this holds up as a low scoring affair, it could be tough for Purdy to generate passing yards and we like him to go under in this one.

  5. Chiefs Cover +1.5 versus 49ers: Andy Reid off a bye... there's not a whole lot more to say. He's 21-4 off of bye weeks in his career in the regular season and the Chiefs are getting points. Couple that with the fact that Mahomes is 10-3 straight up as an underdog and 11-1-1 against the spread, and we'll take our chances on the defending Super Bowl Champs in this one.

As always, we look forward to the conversation, debate and your feedback. Hit us at @fieldvisionmi on X, @fieldvisionsports on Instagram, or on our website www.fieldvisionsports.com.

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