Best Bets Sunday Week 10

It's another full day of football! And we mean FULL DAY with the Giants and Panthers getting us kicked off in the early morning in Germany. Get up, have a boot full of beer and eat some sausage. 'Tis the season, I guess. One thing we don't have to guess on is that it's football season. The weather is finally starting to turn in many parts of the country and we're half way through the 18 week season as we enter week 10. It's going to be fun, as always! Here's a sampling of our Best Bets this weekend. As always, check out the Best Bets Tab in the app for the full array.

1. Chuba Hubbard Over 68.5 Rush Yards: It's hard to believe this is Hubbard's 4th year with the Panthers. Early in his career, he was largely an after thought unless CMC was hurt. Then, in the past two off seasons, Carolina has signed Miles Sanders and drafted Jonathan Brooks, but Hubbard continues to rise to the top of the depth chart. He's averaging 73.9 yards per game on the ground this season and we expect that to continue against the Giants defense. The Giants are 16th in our adjusted rush EPA/play on the season and we see advantages for Chuba in point of attack, Light boxes and Personnel against New York.

2. George Kittle Over 55.5 Receiving Yards: We see a short field area advantage for Kittle in this one. Even with CMC back, Kittle is most equipped to take advantage of that. The Bucs gave up 100 yards to Travis Kelce and nearly 300 to Patrick Mahomes in last weeks contest against the Chiefs. Kittle is our number 1 Threat receiver on the season so far and is averaging 71.9 yards per game. We think that trend continues and he hits the over in this one.

3. Amon-Ra St. Brown Under 69.5 Receiving Yards: We see an advantage for the Texans in short and intermediate areas of the field on Sunday which could limit St. Brown's production. Houston is 12th in adjusted dropback EPA/play this season and first in the league in pressure rate which could cause problems for Goff trying to get the ball to his main weapon. The Lions will probably try to control this game on the ground which could lead to a St. Brown under.

4. Texans Cover +3.5 versus Lions: Call us crazy, but the Lions are due for a close game, aren't they? Going into the season, you would have thought the Texans would never be 3.5 point home dogs, but it's a testament to how good the Lions have looked. That aside, the Texans have played much better at home than on the road this season. There biggest problem has been pressure up the middle, which has not been a specialty for the Lions this season. If C.J. Stroud can get time to throw and the Texans get Mixon going on the ground, the Texans should be able to make it a close game and possibly win.

5. Patrick Mahomes Over 232 Pass Yards: Did the Chiefs unlock something in the passing game last week against the Bucs? It seems like so. They were able to get Deandre Hopkins integrated and it unlocked Travis Kelce and some of the other pieces. There was a time when a 232 yard number for Mahomes would have seemed like easy money. If the Chiefs offense has found some of its previous form, there's a good chance Mahomes totals start creeping up in Vegas and we'd like to get in before they get too high.

As always, we look forward to the conversation, debate and your feedback. Hit us at @fieldvisionmi on X, @fieldvisionsports on Instagram, or on our website www.fieldvisionsports.com.